Formal and computational modeling of anticipation mechanisms of resilience in the complex sociotechnical air transport system

Complex Adaptive Systems Modeling

Table 10 The valuation results for 8 action options

Action option	Number of extra lanes	Opening time (hh:mm)	Duration (min)	\(p(\text {sat})\)	\(\overline{T}_{\text {sat}}\) (min)		\(\overline{W}_{\text {sat}}\) (min)		\(\overline{MF}\) (pax)
Action option	Number of extra lanes	Opening time (hh:mm)	Duration (min)	\(p(\text {sat})\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)
1	1	06:26	58	0.57	25.78	18.53	17.57	3.19	6.47	12.21
2	1	06:26	99	0.27	13.25	9.92	10.35	0.37	0.33	1.33
3	1	06:26	121	0.27	13.25	9.92	10.35	0.37	0.33	1.33
4	2	06:30	30	1	49.52	11.36	19.89	1.54	32.35	17.99
5	2	06:35	29	0.99	36.38	14.68	10.08	0.07	18.36	15.80
6	2	06:45	29	0.63	12.22	11.70	11.45	1.32	2.06	7.09
7	2	06:45	38	0.49	2.96	2.15	10.48	0.33	0	0
8	2	06:35	48	0	0	0	–	–	0	0

Here, \(p(\text {sat})\) denotes the probability of saturation, \(\overline{T}_{\text {sat}}\) denotes the average saturation duration, \(\overline{W}_{\text {sat}}\) denotes the average waiting time during the saturation phase, and \(\overline{W}_{sat}\) represents the average number of passengers that missed their flight