Formal and computational modeling of anticipation mechanisms of resilience in the complex sociotechnical air transport system

Complex Adaptive Systems Modeling

Table 8 Initial prediction of the performance indicators for the disrupted schedule

\(p(\text {sat})\)	\(\overline{T}_{\text {sat}}\) (min)		\(\overline{W}_{\text {sat}}\) (min)		\(\overline{MF}\) (pax)
\(p(\text {sat})\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)	\(\mu\)	\(\sigma\)
1	119.8	20.96	32.58	3.29	124.88	26.08

Here, \(p(\text {sat})\) denotes the probability of saturation, \(\overline{T}_{\text {sat}}\) denotes the average saturation duration, \(\overline{W}_{\text {sat}}\) denotes the average waiting time during the saturation phase, and \(\overline{MF}\) represents the average number of passengers that misses their flight